Markets Making a Comeback in 2013 January 1st, 2013
Happy New Year everyone! Last year was fun but let’s be honest, 2012 could’ve been a lot better. Now’s the time to make resolutions for 2013. For many people these resolutions might be something like: “lose weight,” “spend more time with my family,” or “stop smoking.” For most businesses this New Year’s resolution is simple: make more money. Fortunately, financial experts expect 2013 to be a luckier year than 2012 for many companies. These are a few of the markets expected to make a comeback in 2013.Housing:
In 2006 housing prices fell by over 30% across the nation. The US’s homeownership rate fell from 69% in 2004 to 66% in 2011. Fortunately for everyone, the housing market has started gaining a little momentum. In the first half of 2012, for the first time in 5 years, Zillow’s Home Value Index report showed an increase in home prices from the previous year (+0.7%). Also the FHFA’s House Price Index shows a 0.8% increase in house prices from 2011 to 2012. The housing market is still recovering from the recent crash and recession. But, it is heading in the right direction and looks poised for a comeback in 2013.
Coal: Coal has taken a beating in the stock market over the last few years. This was primarily due to low natural gas prices. In 2011 coal accounted for 20% of total US energy consumption while natural gas accounted for 26%. As natural gas demand rose so did prices. Now, demand is starting to swing back in the favor of coal. Companies will always look for the cheapest source material to generate electricity. Although there has been a strong push for alternative, green energy in recent years, the US will be heavily dependent on coal for electricity and metal production for the next few decades.
Construction: The construction industry took a huge hit during the recent recession. When unemployment rates are high and homeownership rates are low, there is low demand for construction companies. The construction industry to brought in about $826 billion in revenue in 2012. This was up 4.7% from $789 billion in 2011. It is a slow road to recovery, but at this rate the construction industry will be back to its 2007, pre-recession strength by 2015 or 2016. In 2012, over 150 construction companies made the Inc. 5000 list of fastest-growing private companies in the US.
Venture Capital: According to the National Venture Capital Association venture-capital funds have underperformed the average stock index since 1999. In 1999 the average VC fund generated a rate of return of 83.4%. In 2010 VC funds’ average ROI was -5.2%. As the nation rebounds from the recent economic recession, overall investment will increase as will the rate of profitable investments. In 2012 the average VC fund generated 5.3%. In 2013, experts predict a fall in consumer IT investment and a rise in business IT and health care IT investment.
RVS: The Recreational Vehicle market was hit hard during the Great Recession. Between 2007 and 2009 shipments from manufacturers to dealers fell 113% from 353,400 to 165,700 units. Demand dropped as consumers simply didn’t have as much money or time as they used to. Many RV lots closed down and tens of thousands of industry workers were laid off. However, the RV market is starting to recover. Overall shipments from manufacturers to dealers rose 10% in 2012 and are expected to rise another 4.5% in 2013. Also, the industry’s workforce has grown to 375,000 (up from below 250,000 in 2008). In 2012 the RV company Winnebago Industries Inc. saw profits of $45 million. This was up 281% from $11.8 million in 2011.
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